Yesterday went about exactly as I thought it would; bottom line was a lot of messy, HP, and outflow dominated storms with a couple tornado reports sprinkled in.  I knew yesterday wasn’t a tornado day, and that was very much the case as the few that were spotted/reported were all very brief and largely lacking any real visual pizazz.  The storm I was on did produce a briefy to my southeast, but I was dilly-dallying in the 2″+ hail and navigating a ‘minimum maintenance’ road after the soaking hail core rolled through.  I spent the backhalf of the active chase…

Target continues to shift further east today; a nice break given I start here in Kansas City.  Morning surface analysis shows absolute trash dewpoints this morning across northeast Colorado, southwest Nebraska, and northwest Kansas.  And you can see on the surface map above, there aren’t favorable wind directions to bring up those juicier numbers.  You’ll likely see SOME rise out there, but not enough, even by high plains standards, to make a viable target out there.  I have NO IDEA why SPC maintained their 5% tornado probs out there, but I would be shocked if they were not removed in…

Tomorrow is likely NOT a tornado day… I will just get that out of the way right now… yes, there probably will be a couple that sneak their way into the reports, but overall, I think tomorrow is likely gonna be a damaging wind and hail day.  Today, I wussed out; nothing about today was highly anticipated, and most of the better parameters shifted well north and east, and anything I was going to get on early evening was taking me the opposite direction I needed to go, so I threw a couple chips on some convection that tried to…

Good morning from Columbia, MO… packing up and loading up, bout ready to push myself back to the west a bit to set up for today; nothing high-end today, more along the lines of ‘since I am here’; a lowish-end, damaging wind cluster of storms expected to fire late afternoon/early evening across southeast Nebraska/southwest Iowa and push southeast into northwest Missouri.  How much effort I put in to today remains to be seen; today never was a major setup, and that hasn’t really changed.  But I am here, and was here by default, so we’re plotting for it either way.…

The May-a-Thon Adventure begins Friday… today I’ll be eastbound toward KC and that leaves me sitting pretty to kick things off tomorrow afternoon. Low-end setup with models back and forth on daytime development north of KC. Saturday begins the ramp up, with Sunday and Monday on paper the headliners. Busy stretch… but excited to be back at it.  See ya under a storm… if not Friday, then most likely Saturday haha

After a relatively quiet start to May, things are looking to pick back up.  SPC has already highlighted both weekend days, and it would not shock me to see additional outlooks starting as early as Friday and continuing well into next week.  I will likely deploy for the weekend setups, and once out, will remain out until a series of down days take hold.  The pattern is definitely shifting into active May mode, and thus we may be looking at a trip involving a laundry day haha Tomorrow is a car day… I took a rock to the windshield that’s…