Given the success of yesterday and my desire to have a full day at home in front of my TV watching football (namely the afternoon Washington/Dallas game), I have decided to sit out today.  CAMs are hit and miss on initiation, mainly in the timing, with many not popping storm(s) til at/after 7pm.  While the potential for a VERY discrete supercell exists, it will likely be fairly late, leaving a short daytime window to see much of anything.  Add to that the fact that most are initiating near the KS border, meaning it’s a nearly 3-hour haul just to get…

A decent, two-minute tornado, a brief birdfart landspout, intense accumulating hail, and some fantastic lightning shots!  It was the Holy Chase Trifecta!  I have posted the placeholder for the log and I will get the write-up done, hopefully here in the next day or two.  But a incredibly over-performing day, despite the HRRR nailing the supercell, a lot of crazy things went down.  The hail in this storm was reported up to 3″, but I didn’t see anything bigger than just over an inch, but what fell came down hard and heavy, accumulating along I-70 and making a slog of…

Not much to speak of from this recent two-day chase trip… enough so where neither day will get a written log out of the deal, but alas, that’s how it goes sometimes.  I have rolled back home safely and have updated the books and I continue to move 2026 further and further up the ranking list… as of the end of this most recent trip, here are where my numbers sit in the annual rankings starting back in 2002, and what it would take to move into the top 3 and the first place overall. 2026 Storm-Chasing Statistical Targets Statistic…

Sleeper may be giving too much credit to day’s setup, but 24 hours ago, this was going to be a one-and-done trip… then today started sneaking in to some of the hi-rez model runs, and I went to bed last night thinking we could eek out one more day today.  This morning’s runs continued to show the northwest Missouri potential, so given the less-than-three-hour haul down I-29 from here in Omaha, we’ve elected to go ahead and make it so. SPC maintains a marginal risk from the extent of the front today, and I guess it’s not out of the…

Waking up this morning in Grand Island after yesterday’s football-filled drive (Washington lost to the Eagles by 2 in a more competitive game than I figured, but a loss is a loss), about 2-3 hours from my early afternoon target.  As usual, I will land in that target by 3pm, which probably oughta be more than enough time to settle and wait for the afternoon show. I probably should post a current grab of the radar, but that’s more effort than this Monday morning is going to get out of me.  Trust me when I say there is a LOT…

Monday is the target day, the start of the ‘Second Season’ of chasing… while unlikely the last chase of the season, this will mark the home stretch of this season minus whatever El Nino has to serve up, particularly across the south/southeast through the winter. It’s an all-hazards setup, but with multiple caveats.  In fact, this has been highlighted in the SPC 15% since the Day 5, and we awakened this morning to the 15% dropped to an all-marginal, only for the SLIGHT to come back in the afternoon Day 3.  I don’t know why they opted to drop the…