For weather nerds everywhere, next week continues to be a thing… yesterday I posted about the Euro and it’s rather optimistic outputs, and the two runs that followed kept up with the higher totals (albeit lower).  Credit where it’s due, it is at least being consistent despite no other models even hinting at such totals.  But, most DO some SOME snow potential there along the Front Range, so regardless of what snowfall model camp you land in, I’d say the confidence in the Front Range getting their first accumulating snow (which for the record is a measly 0.1″) is growing. …

The nice thing about having a personal blog is I can get away with posting graphics like these just for the sake of having fun… post this on social, even with the “NOT A FORECAST” line blasted at the top is still an easy way to get clicks.  Tempting as it may be, despite the monetization I am leaving on the table, I won’t stoop to that level.  Mainly cause I know, not even deep down inside know, that this is HIGHLY unlikely that any storm next weekend will hit these levels, but my God would that be amazing haha…

Lot of buzz in the social media world about next week’s system… depending on what side of the weather fence you’re on, the talk goes between severe weather and winter weather.  For me, I am definitely leaning on the winter weather side of this system, mainly cause it could be the first snow for us here along the Front Range.  Like we’ve seen a couple of the last handful of years here, we’ve cracked the Top 10 in latest first snows in Denver, and we’re going to do the same again this year, but there is good reason to think…

Waking up to a little hatched yellow egg on the tornado prob map this morning… surprising… YES… particularly when you look at yesterday’s storm reports that came within a 5% hatched tornado prob… there were ZERO tornado reports in that area yesterday, including a late tornado watch.  In fact, there were SEVEN total reports, all wind, and two of which were in Vegas, the Nevada one, not the New Mexico one that was in said tornado watch. I don’t see it; I haven’t been completely on board with a higher-end tornado threat.  I think I said yesterday this was definitely…

Hunkered down in Hays this Sunday evening, gonna suffer through the Washington/Philadelphia game here this evening and will be in good shape to get positioned tomorrow.  I originally was planning to head to Salina, but opted to stay here as Salina was going to be, uh, busy this evening. Potential tomorrow is definitely there.  I think the 5%-hatched SPC has out may be a bit generous, but I definitely think a couple tornadoes are definitely possible.  Models are mixed in regards to instability AND timing, which of course now results in nighttime falling around 6pm, so a narrow window exists. …

I’ve been kinda meh on the next system expected early next week, and while not as meh, there is still meh there.  Several days out still, so plenty of time to change, for better or worse, but I’d say my meh has come down while the odds I head out have gone up; neither huge shifts, but enough where it’s time to mention it.  SPC as highlighted the area basically from I-70 south into northern Texas straddling the I-35 corridor.  Initially, a  lot of my meh came in the form of where this was setting up to be, which was…