Waking up to a little hatched yellow egg on the tornado prob map this morning… surprising… YES… particularly when you look at yesterday’s storm reports that came within a 5% hatched tornado prob… there were ZERO tornado reports in that area yesterday, including a late tornado watch.  In fact, there were SEVEN total reports, all wind, and two of which were in Vegas, the Nevada one, not the New Mexico one that was in said tornado watch. I don’t see it; I haven’t been completely on board with a higher-end tornado threat.  I think I said yesterday this was definitely…

Hunkered down in Hays this Sunday evening, gonna suffer through the Washington/Philadelphia game here this evening and will be in good shape to get positioned tomorrow.  I originally was planning to head to Salina, but opted to stay here as Salina was going to be, uh, busy this evening. Potential tomorrow is definitely there.  I think the 5%-hatched SPC has out may be a bit generous, but I definitely think a couple tornadoes are definitely possible.  Models are mixed in regards to instability AND timing, which of course now results in nighttime falling around 6pm, so a narrow window exists. …

I’ve been kinda meh on the next system expected early next week, and while not as meh, there is still meh there.  Several days out still, so plenty of time to change, for better or worse, but I’d say my meh has come down while the odds I head out have gone up; neither huge shifts, but enough where it’s time to mention it.  SPC as highlighted the area basically from I-70 south into northern Texas straddling the I-35 corridor.  Initially, a  lot of my meh came in the form of where this was setting up to be, which was…

Excited to upload my first behind-the-scenes video tomorrow, it’s the story of why I wore Art Monk’s number for so many years.  I have been sitting on this video for a while as it was suppose to go up at the start of football season, but I missed that week due to being out in the field, and given the downtime I have had this last week, it was an easy slide-in as I just didn’t have the brain capacity to edit a full video.  Yes, it’s the lazy approach, but past Tony did well at editing a few videos…

That’s me standing at the Florida state sign next to my Weather Wolf; yes, for the first time in my life, I drove from Colorado to Florida.  Multiple weather assignments in a short duration of time warranted this over trying to juggle flights and travel logistics.  Thus, I spent two days hauling from my northern Colorado house to Florida to cover the failed tornado outbreak of Hurricane Isaias.  We got moved over to the potential tornado threat on landfall day, thus I did not intercept the eyewall, which ultimately yielded a failed intercept as there were no tornadoes on landfall…

September 30 turned the entire 2026 chase season around… topping the list, it gave me the top goal of this year, my 30th season, and that was to hit 500 tornadoes!  It was the goal I set right out of the gate; I was 26 away, and I knew that was a lofty number, only 8 of my prior seasons saw more than that, so almost two-thirds missed that mark.  But I knew it was reachable if the season performed well, and I wanted more than anything else this year to hit that tornado milestone on this milestone year.  And…