Forecast Thoughts

Memorial Day Weekend

May 25, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

While early on the calendar this year, we’re still in the climatological peak of severe…

Colorado Chase Thursday?

May 20, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Despite a pretty meh synoptic pattern, a halfway decent, albeit somewhat moisture-deprived setup exists tomorrow…

Saturday’s Iowa Storm, Today’s Potential Failure Modes

Yesterday went about exactly as I thought it would; bottom line was a lot of…

Morning Chase Analysis

May 16, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Target continues to shift further east today; a nice break given I start here in…

The 0z Saturday Thoughts

May 15, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Tomorrow is likely NOT a tornado day… I will just get that out of the…

Wild Weekend Starts Today

May 15, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Good morning from Columbia, MO… packing up and loading up, bout ready to push myself…

Wheels Up for Friday into Next Week

May 14, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

The May-a-Thon Adventure begins Friday… today I’ll be eastbound toward KC and that leaves me…

The May-a-Thon To Commence This Weekend

After a relatively quiet start to May, things are looking to pick back up.  SPC…

The Spontaneous Saturday Chase That Overperformed

Saturday was a day I had on my radar for most of the week, mainly…

Eyeballing Central Kansas for a Low-End Chase?

May 7, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Very low end, probably a high-based hailer and perhaps some lightning… but it’s semi-close, and…

Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY JUN 11
Likely Chase Day
Northern/Central IL
TOMORROW JUN 12
Watching
TBD
SATURDAY JUN 13
Possible Chase Day
Northeast KS/Southeast NE
SUNDAY JUN 14
No Chase Planned
MONDAY JUN 15
No Chase Planned
TUESDAY JUN 16
No Chase Planned
WEDNESDAY JUN 17
No Chase Planned
THURSDAY JUN 18
No Chase Planned
FRIDAY JUN 19
No Chase Planned
SATURDAY JUN 20
No Chase Planned
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