Opens in a new tab

Good Morning From Amarillo

March 5, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Arrived safely to Amarillo early yesterday evening where I awaken this morning to find myself no more than a couple hours from my potential targets for the day.  Hi-rez cams continue to indicated supercells initiating later this afternoon with a window of about an hour or two before dark where if a storm can get established and rotate, we could see a couple tornadoes out of it.  Big hail certainly a likelihood out of these storms as well, perhaps up to baseball size.  I have a couple chase-specific errands to run here in town, so I’ll pass an hour or two with that before venturing out to my target.  Initial gut tells me the Childress area, despite a couple CAM runs indicating initiation further to the west along I-27.  We’ll see where the dryline sets up and decide, but I’d lean to be a little south as opposed to north with cells expected to move east/northeast once they get going.  They should lead me toward central Oklahoma where I’ll likely aim to bunk down tonight.

Beyond that, just wrapped some work obligations here this morning, so I am going gather myself together and start to load up and get out of here.  It’s a milk the checkout day for sure, and I got an extended one til noon, so I have an hour before housekeeping starts beating down the door.  From there, we should have a solid handle on where ew need to go and by when we’ll need to be there.

See ya on the road!

The thoughts and opinions expressed here are solely my own and do not reflect the views of my employer or affiliated organizations.

Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY OCT 10
Likely Tropical Day
>95%
Central Gulf Coast
TOMORROW OCT 11
Possible Chase Day
60%
Southeast US
MONDAY OCT 12
Possible Chase Day
40%
Southeast US
TUESDAY OCT 13
Watching
20%
TBD
WEDNESDAY OCT 14
Watching
20%
TBD
THURSDAY OCT 15
No Chase Planned
<5%
FRIDAY OCT 16
No Chase Planned
<5%
SATURDAY OCT 17
No Chase Planned
<5%
SUNDAY OCT 18
No Chase Planned
<5%
MONDAY OCT 19
No Chase Planned
<5%
Latest Facebook Posts