Memorial Day Weekend

May 25, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

While early on the calendar this year, we’re still in the climatological peak of severe weather season, and there is barely a storm around.  Those who ‘have’ to be out are running back and forth from Texas to South Dakota, many heading down to Texas today.  Ten-plus years ago, that be me… not now haha In fact, I am somewhat content with the down time, albeit weird during THIS holiday, which has usually been one of the busiest times for me.  Not this time, and it looks like the down stretch will likely be an extended one, minus a couple low-end backyarders possible at the end of this week.  Beyond that, nothing in the long-range gives any indication of a pattern shift.  Lots of northwest flow across the central part of the country, likely meaning MCS season up north.  Not usually on my list of things to do to chase, so we’ll see if that amounts to anything that gets me out.  I’m in Chicago the first weekend in June, something unheard of for me to plan something NON-CHASE related during that time of year, but right now, it looks like I am going to enjoy that weekend with not a whole lot to miss.  In fact, I’d argue that I may be in line for storms up that way by default haha  The question remains, what does the middle/back-half of June serve up.  Typically these wonky patterns favor an active pattern for us along the front range; not necessarily for tornadoes, but stormy none-the-less.  Hailers aren’t out of the question with the instability, flooding storms also find their way in.  Indications are for a pretty active monsoon season here, so maybe that’ll offer some lightning ops.  Otherwise, a lot of day-of looks will determine how often I head out.  Holding out hope that the central/northern plains offer some opportunities later in the month.  But right now, nothing I can point to.  That said, lots of look backs on years prior; easily the busiest stretch of days during the chase season for me in years past.  Ain’t gonna be adding anything to that this year, though…

The thoughts and opinions expressed here are solely my own and do not reflect the views of my employer or affiliated organizations.

Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY MAY 25
No Chase Planned
TOMORROW MAY 26
No Chase Planned
WEDNESDAY MAY 27
No Chase Planned
THURSDAY MAY 28
Watching
TBD
FRIDAY MAY 29
Watching
TBD
SATURDAY MAY 30
No Chase Planned
SUNDAY MAY 31
No Chase Planned
MONDAY JUN 1
No Chase Planned
TUESDAY JUN 2
No Chase Planned
WEDNESDAY JUN 3
No Chase Planned
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