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Busy Week Ahead, Iowa-Bound Today

April 12, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

The weekend setups became a wash for me, despite Saturday giving some play to pretty every place I targeted at one point or another.  The issue for me was that despite an early alarm that would’ve allowed me to hit any target, including the further east target, I had a low-end kitty cat emergency that I had to tend to, which by the time it wrapped up and I returned the kitty home, it was already after noon, and thus pretty well ended any hope I had to get on anything reasonable.  The good news, the kitty is at home on antibiotics and doing well, so was a good early catch that was well warranted and hopefully saved her from something worse had it been waited on.

Also fortunate, despite an impressive wind event in far eastern Colorado (my Goodland target) and the surprising MCV-driven tornado watch (my eastern target), nothing of major importance was missed.  There was a brief little birdfart nado near the KS/NE line southeast of Hastings, and a good little dust storm along I-70 near Burlington, so not a total miss, but I can exhale a bit as I was a little perturbed when the day I had written off tried to perform.  Regardless, we’re moving right along.

Today is a largely underwhelming day, so it’ll be focused on a drive to the Des Moines area, setting up for what oughta be a very busy week.  Four of the five weekdays ahead look like pretty high-ceiling chase days, with Thursday (a low-end risk) perhaps a down day ahead of Friday.  Monday, and Wednesday look solid, and Tuesday right now looks to be the big day of the bunch.  All days have high ceilings, but plenty of caveats that could fail each setup, so no slam dunks, but it’ll keep us busy none-the-less.

Monday right now, likely a southern Minnesota play based on front position and terrain.  Southeast Minnesota into Wisconsin start to get terrain-tricky, so my hope is that some of the CAMs are correct and give credit to a western play, which would be more favorable for terrain.  Tuesday shifts a bit south, eastern IA into western IL (again).  Wednesday and Friday could be similar areas, although I am not writing off either for something further south, but ideally, we’d remain in the same general vicinity for the week, which would cut down on the day-to-day miles as I am rolling this trip solo.  So that would be helpful to me.

After that, should be a bit of a down stretch, hopefully allowing me the weekend to return home and BE home for some home-projects that are slated for Monday the 20th.  Another system may eject out early next week, but hopefully stays at bay long enough to give me Monday at home haha If ya listening, Ma-Nature 😉

So that’s all I got here this Sunday AM.  Wheels up to Des Moines and we’ll see what the week ahead has in store for us!

The thoughts and opinions expressed here are solely my own and do not reflect the views of my employer or affiliated organizations.

Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY OCT 10
Likely Tropical Day
>95%
Central Gulf Coast
TOMORROW OCT 11
Possible Chase Day
60%
Southeast US
MONDAY OCT 12
Possible Chase Day
40%
Southeast US
TUESDAY OCT 13
Watching
20%
TBD
WEDNESDAY OCT 14
Watching
20%
TBD
THURSDAY OCT 15
No Chase Planned
<5%
FRIDAY OCT 16
No Chase Planned
<5%
SATURDAY OCT 17
No Chase Planned
<5%
SUNDAY OCT 18
No Chase Planned
<5%
MONDAY OCT 19
No Chase Planned
<5%
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