Should’ve Been a Bit More Ambitious Today

August 15, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts, Post-Mortem

That was my view on southbound Weld County Parkway heading toward Keenesburg as a seven-minute landspout tornado was ongoing in Denver proper north of Dicks Sporting Goods Park.  That was pretty much all today really produced, but that is a pretty big production.  No, a landspout, one that was likely didn’t do any damage, isn’t a headliner in 99% of cases, but one in the metro definitely moves up a couple notches.  Beyond that, sporatic reports of street flooding was about it.  My storms, while advised for landspout potential, all rained themselves out pretty quick, and I ended up in Brighton in traffic and unable to really get to anything in time.  I turned tail and came home when it was clear nothing was worth sticking out for.  Frustrated in the moment as one often is when they are seeing reports of a landspout active in Denver, but the day as a whole was pretty much what I thought it would be if you take the spout out of the equation.

No changes in my thoughts for tomorrow… still likely to venture out, somewhere north of CO-86.  No major changes in the ambient setup minus an increase in dynamics, so would suspect a similar evolution and initiation of storms that we’ve seen the last few days, so it may be a east side of Denver start, then follow out east until its not worth following anymore.  With better dynamics in play, severe weather a bigger threat tomorrow than the last couple days, both of which did present some hefty storms, so I have reason to think we could see the best (or second best) chase day of this four-day stretch.  No tornado risk in the afternoon SPC Day 2, and I don’t see that changing, even if landspouts get a nod from the local offices.  Still a messy setup even with the better dynamics, so not a tornado day by any stretch.  But eeking out a spout or two, not gonna rule it out.

Sunday is another marginal day, likely the last one of the stretch, which will close this five-day stint.  I won’t rule out a backyard chase Sunday, but if I am being honest, I have not looked in great detail, but I would put my chase chances very low as of this entry.  It appears to be a southern Colorado play, and a marginal setup four hour plus drive one-way on a Sunday probably won’t get a yes out of me.

The thoughts and opinions expressed here are solely my own and do not reflect the views of my employer or affiliated organizations.
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Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY SEP 9
No Chase Planned
<5%
TOMORROW SEP 10
Watching
20%
TBD
FRIDAY SEP 11
Watching
40%
Eastern Nebraska
SATURDAY SEP 12
Watching
20%
Midwest Somewhere
SUNDAY SEP 13
Watching
<5%
TBD
MONDAY SEP 14
Watching
<5%
TBD
TUESDAY SEP 15
No Chase Planned
<5%
WEDNESDAY SEP 16
No Chase Planned
<5%
THURSDAY SEP 17
No Chase Planned
<5%
FRIDAY SEP 18
No Chase Planned
<5%
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