Forecast Thoughts

Monsoony Week Ahead in Colorado

August 11, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

    A lot going on locally, including some weather with chasing potential over the…

End of July Placeholders Added

August 4, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts, Post-Mortem

Just doing some quick website maintenance, adding the four chases from last week that wrapped…

A Legit Chase Day Thursday

All cozied up here in my Ogallala hotel after following some storms up I-76 this…

This Week’s Chase Potential

July 27, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Last few days of July MAY offer up a chase day or two locally… nothing…

Halfway Awards for 2026

The heat of July continues, the doldrums, as we like to call them, and aside…

March Dynamics + June Instability

June 16, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Equals what exactly?  Truth is, we won’t have the answer to that equation til this…

Quick Update on Wednesday’s Chase

June 15, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Wednesday is >95% for chasing… I remain in Columbia as I just decided to keep…

Memorial Day Weekend

May 25, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

While early on the calendar this year, we’re still in the climatological peak of severe…

Colorado Chase Thursday?

May 20, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Despite a pretty meh synoptic pattern, a halfway decent, albeit somewhat moisture-deprived setup exists tomorrow…

Saturday’s Iowa Storm, Today’s Potential Failure Modes

Yesterday went about exactly as I thought it would; bottom line was a lot of…

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Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY AUG 26
Likely Chase Day
80%
Eastern Colorado
TOMORROW AUG 27
Watching
40%
Eastern Colorado
FRIDAY AUG 28
No Chase Planned
<5%
SATURDAY AUG 29
No Chase Planned
<5%
SUNDAY AUG 30
Watching
20%
Northern Plains
MONDAY AUG 31
Watching
20%
Midwest
TUESDAY SEP 1
No Chase Planned
<5%
WEDNESDAY SEP 2
No Chase Planned
<5%
THURSDAY SEP 3
No Chase Planned
<5%
FRIDAY SEP 4
No Chase Planned
<5%
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