Forecast Thoughts

Morning Chase Analysis

May 16, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Target continues to shift further east today; a nice break given I start here in…

The 0z Saturday Thoughts

May 15, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Tomorrow is likely NOT a tornado day… I will just get that out of the…

Wild Weekend Starts Today

May 15, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Good morning from Columbia, MO… packing up and loading up, bout ready to push myself…

Wheels Up for Friday into Next Week

May 14, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

The May-a-Thon Adventure begins Friday… today I’ll be eastbound toward KC and that leaves me…

The May-a-Thon To Commence This Weekend

After a relatively quiet start to May, things are looking to pick back up.  SPC…

The Spontaneous Saturday Chase That Overperformed

Saturday was a day I had on my radar for most of the week, mainly…

Eyeballing Central Kansas for a Low-End Chase?

May 7, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Very low end, probably a high-based hailer and perhaps some lightning… but it’s semi-close, and…

It’s May, You Chase… SNOW?

For Colorado, this is not unusual to be talking snow in May… a few years…

Final Day Friday

April 16, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts

Opted to play what I guess we can call the secondary target for Friday’s grand…

My First Minnesota Tornadoes in 16 Years

April 14, 2026 | Forecast Thoughts, Post-Mortem

Busy day yesterday in southern Minnesota, which included my first two Minnesota tornadoes since the…

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Tony's 10-Day Chase Outlook

TODAY AUG 26
Likely Chase Day
80%
Eastern Colorado
TOMORROW AUG 27
Watching
40%
Eastern Colorado
FRIDAY AUG 28
No Chase Planned
<5%
SATURDAY AUG 29
No Chase Planned
<5%
SUNDAY AUG 30
Watching
20%
Northern Plains
MONDAY AUG 31
Watching
20%
Midwest
TUESDAY SEP 1
No Chase Planned
<5%
WEDNESDAY SEP 2
No Chase Planned
<5%
THURSDAY SEP 3
No Chase Planned
<5%
FRIDAY SEP 4
No Chase Planned
<5%
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